State Capitals Red vs. Blue

States send their representatives to their state capitals, and so I thought I would look at how those state capitols voted.

States won by Kerry: 19 (38%)
States won by Bush: 31 (62%)

State capitals in counties won by Kerry: 29 (58%)
State capitals in counties won by Bush: 21 (42%)

State capitals in counties won by Kerry in states won by Bush: 15 (48% of Bush's states)--Alabama, Alaska*, Arkansas, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Iowa, Mississippi, New Mexico, Ohio, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, and Virginia**
State capitals in counties won by Bush in states won by Kerry: 5 (26% of Kerry's states)--Delaware, Illinois, Maryland, Oregon, Pennsylvania

So in total, 20 state capitals did not vote like their states, and so I would not conclude they are necessarily a good predictor of the states' leanings.

*--Alaska does not have counties. I looked at the presidential returns by state house districts, which Kerry won the one containing Juneau and Bush won the other 39.
**--Richmond is an independent city. It went for Kerry, but the counties surrounding it went for Bush.